Thursday, October 9, 2008
American's don't care about homes, but wealth.
Americans don't care about being homeowners. They don't. They couldn't care less if they actually owned the house, the land, or anything else for that matter.
Americans want to be, strive to be and care about being wealthy. They will do, buy, or act in just about any fashion to cause this to happen. If they could be financially dependent, wealthy, etc. from buying and selling tulips, they would do this.
Americans look at homes, and treat them, as an investment. Period. Any investment has risk. Investors should know about risk and uncertainty. They should also know that sometimes they lose. And be prepared for it.
As for the rest of the world pointing at this mess starting in, and being caused by the US; poor lending, poor oversight, corruption, collusion, ratings agencies not doing their job the list goes on, I say to the rest of the world, "Take responsibility for your actions, too."
When they were buying MBS reportedly rated as AAA they didn't see those securities were based on US homes, mostly in CA that were increasing in value at astronomical rates by historical standards?
Come on. Take some responsibility.
J
Wednesday, October 8, 2008
JAllen Radio (light humor) “Sucker goin’ down, Part II”
JAllen: “We’ve got a breaking and special story for you today folks! JAllen radio is live on board the Big Bush Boat after being hit by a “torpedo-type-thingy” fired from this very boat! The boat is now taking on water as “the crew” try to deal with the impending sinking.
JAllen: “The Crew” include: Benni and Hanky, Roubini, Mr. Mortgage, and others.
JAllen: “Bennie, have you got this under control?”
Bennie: “You see this button? (winks) I can push this button and this here machine will churn out a bunch of rags…an infinite number of rags if I want. And Hanky will use those rags to mop up. Right, Hank?”
Hank: “I need more rags to mop with! This is not enough. I’m mopping, I’m bailing, I’m shimmering and shaking, but the water I toss overboard just comes right back in! Bennie! MORE RAGS!!”
JAllen: “Cap’n Bush, what do you have to say?”
Cap’n Bush: “Torpedo me once…shame…shame on…Bennie, you’re doin’ a heckuva job”
JAllen: “Roubini, what is being done and what do you need to do to stop this sucker goin’ down?”
Roubini: “First of all, I knew this was coming! I said this would happen! What this Hank and Bennie are doing…this mopping…will never work. There are twelve things we need to do…If you want to know how to fix it, first you need to register at info@rgemonitor.com.
JAllen: Hank, how is the mopping going?
...to be continued
Wednesday, October 1, 2008
Slow Screw Part Two - becomes Fast Screw for You
He needed more "margin," or "leverage." Credit.
The truth of the matter is that at the heart of the Great Depression was a credit bubble, much like we have today. And the truth is that only an enormous amount of financial pain for everyone will bring us back to reality. Sooner, the better, right? Dragging this out much longer through bailouts, stimulus packages, etc. only prolongs the pain and the problem. But this is the path we are choosing.
It's like having a sore tooth where the patient spends months eating on the other side of his mouth. But the tooth will not stop hurting until it falls out, or until the patient sees a dentist. The dentist causes some initial pain, but saves the tooth. I'm afraid we're in the process of losing some teeth.
Ben Bernanke knows this. He has prepared for it for decades. The irony is he's a student of the Depressionl. Why isn't he fixing it? Why is it getting worse? He's eating on the other side of his mouth.
Paulson wants to give his buddies (and himself) some Novocaine, cocaine and a get out of jail free card and splash some expensive moonshine on our collective, painful molars.
In my earlier Post, "Slow Screw", I talked about the unfortunate, declining standard of living over the past several generations. It would be sad, except for the fact that we're getting what we deserve. That makes it sad, but equitable.
J
Saturday, September 27, 2008
JAllen Radio - "Is this sucker going down?"
JAllen: Tonight we are discussing "Is this sucker going down, or not?" I'm back today with my usual distinguished guests, Mike Shedlock (Mish), Mr. Mortgage, Patrick of patrick.net and Nouriel Roubini (hisssss!). Patrick, we start with you. Is the sucker going down, or not?
Patrick: Of course, anyone who buys now will suffer losses immediately, and for the next several years at least, as the sucker goes down to come into line with tighter lending and stagnant salaries.
Mish: Me thinks not. It's time to Take Back this Sucker from those who want this sucker to go down at taxpayer expense. Please keep phoning and faxing.
JAllen: Mr. Mortgage, what do you think?
Mr. Mortgage: Any sucker going down will add a large amount of inventory to an already pounded market in the West Coast. This will be caused by Meredith Whitney scaring the crap out of everyone.
Roubini: It is a disgrace that no professional economist was consulted by Congress. I have been predicting the downing of the socialist sucker since 2001. I predict this sucker could very well go down...especially if money isn't loosened up.
JAllen: We have a SURPRISE guest, former governor of NY, Eliot Spitzer. Governor, what's your take?
Spitzer: I've already paid too much for too many suckers going down.
JAllen: Well, there you have it.
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Who to Fire?
Bazooka Hank
Moral Hazard Hank
Squirt Gun Hank
Whirly Ben
Uncle Ben
Bailout Ben
Printing Press Ben
Monday, September 22, 2008
WRAPUP 3-US Treasury, Congress ramp up bank bailout talks
* Negotiations ramp up between Treasury, Congress
My comment: The spineless democrats prepare to agree to anything.
* Treasury chief: plan needed to shield economy, taxpayer
My comment: plan will screw economy, taxpayer
* Lawmakers say aim to pass plan by end of week
My comment: Lawmakers want to go on vacation
* Democrats want help for homeowners, taxpayer protections (Recasts; adds comments by Pelosi, Schumer, Dodd; background)
My comment: Homeowners want out of their overpriced homes and mortgages. 700 billion added to taxbill does not protect taxpayers
WASHINGTON, Sept 21 (Reuters) - The Bush administration and Congress on Sunday ramped up talks on an unprecedented $700 billion bank bailout as they battled the clock to prevent further financial market turmoil that risks hurtling the economy into a deep and damaging recession.
My comment: News flash, the economy is already in a deep and damaging recession.
The plan for the largest-ever bank rescue would give sweeping powers to the U.S. Treasury to buy up toxic mortgage-related debt from financial firms, including U.S. subsidiaries of foreign banks.
My comment: Paulson trades his bazooka for neutron bomb.
The plan for the largest-ever bank rescue would give sweeping powers to the U.S. Treasury to buy up toxic mortgage-related debt from financial firms, including U.S. subsidiaries of foreign banks.
My comment: "...so that no bank is left behind."
"This is a new phenomenon for every major player in this place and there are no dress rehearsals. That is why the market is so jittery. This has to work the first time," said Peter Kenny, managing director at Knight Equity Markets in Jersey City, New Jersey.
My comment: The market is jittery because it needs another bailout fix.
J
No Bank Left Behind
Nobody can fail! Well, isn't that special.
1. Who was supposed to be scanning the horizon, looking for problems in the financial industry?
2. If we knew there were problems, when did we know and what were we doing about them?
3. Who is being held accountable for this? Where does the buck (1.2 Trillion bucks) stop?
It seems the way we run our country is that we wait for a disaster to happen, and then run around trying to do something about it. No, it's even worse than that. Disasters have been happening that we knew were coming. We watched them arrive. Watched them hit. Then we run around with our hair on fire, giving obscene authority to the people who were supposed to be watching out for (and avoiding) the problems.
Serves us right.
Heckuva Job Paulie!
Heckuva Job Rummie!
Heckuva Job Brownie!
Heckuva Job Ricey! ...no wait, she hasn't done anything.
What a miserable failure of an administration.
J
Saturday, September 20, 2008
How did we get here? Glass-Steagall Act repealed by Republicans -- and you will know their names
Find the Vote here
I'll help you with this REPUBLICAN BUBBLE MAKER:
October 1st, 2008 1:38 am
We Cannot Handle The Truth
What we have here is a failure to communicate.
The facts are that the debt levels of the U.S.A., U.K., Ireland, Spain, Italy, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and many other European and ‘advanced’ economies are too large to be serviced by the income these economies generate.
There are only two ways out of this:
1.) Debt destruction through default leading to a severe recession or depression after which normal and stable growth can resume.
2.) Postponing the problem by the creation of new debt with inflationary results and the eventual necessity of having the above occur latter.
We must pass through debt destruction now or take on more debt and go through a much larger debt destruction latter.
That is the choice. All the other posturing and spin is bull feces.
Paulson and Bernanke and Cox and Bush and Wall Street and the House Leadership and the Senate Leadership, all hoped they could ‘contain’ the problem until after November 4th.
The only rational solution is the Irish Solution, that is protect depositors and thus stop the bank runs, and let investors take a bath.
Dow 8,000 will happen sooner or latter. It is better sooner than latter.