Where does the 500lb gorilla sit?

Well, Richard Buchanan at Pajamasmedia discusses it, (the US) Here

China and India will certainly continue to grow, however their huge, largely uneducated populations will not add much horsepower to their economies.

My comments:

1. Russia's huge energy reserves and sale of them will allow it to become a superpower again if it chooses.
   
2. Economy and economic power will continue to become more important than defense or offense.
   
3. For these reasons, the movers in this century will be Russia, and Russia.